NFL Wild Card Weekend Props

NFL Wild Card Weekend Props

JK Dobbins with the football

Jan 1, 2023; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens running back J.K. Dobbins (27) rushes during the game against the Pittsburgh Steelers at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Online sportsbooks have released NFL Wild Card Weekend props for January 14-16, 2022
Get our top props for Justin Herbert, JK Dobbins, Justin Jefferson and many more players for the Wild Card Playoffs
See all the passing, rushing, and receiving lines, as well as touchdown odds, plus our best player prop picks below

The field has been narrowed to 14 teams with 12 of those teams in action from Saturday to Monday in the NFL Wild Card Playoffs. Some of the league’s top players will take the field and we’ve scoured the Wild Card Weekend player props to pick our top prop picks to play.

With all six Wild Card games featuring matchups that were played earlier this season, some of which more than once, there’s plenty of data to compare when making prop bets.

Will Vikings’ receivers have another huge game against the Giants? Can Justin Herbert have a better day against the Jags this time around? Will Josh Allen torch the Dolphins’ secondary? Is JK Dobbins in line for a heavy dose of runs against the Bengals?

See our top Wild Card Weekend player props for these players and more below.

Our NFL season record so far after the regular season is 79-77.

Passing | Rushing | Receiving | Touchdown Props

NFL Passing Props

Quarterback
Completions
Passing Yards
Passing TDs
Geno Smith (SEA)
20.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
227.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +170 | Un -235)
Brock Purdy (SF)
19.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140)
219.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130)
Justin Herbert (LAC)
25.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
280.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105)
Trevor Lawrence (JAX)
23.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130)
245.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Josh Allen (BUF)
22.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
257.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -150 | Un +110)
Daniel Jones (NYG)
21.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100)
241.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
1.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135)
Kirk Cousins (MIN)
24.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
277.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -180 | Un +135)
Joe Burrow (CIN)
24.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130)
267.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -205 | Un +155)
Dak Prescott (DAL)
21.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
245.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Tom Brady (TB)
28.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130)
275.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -150 | Un +110)

All prop odds as of January 12. Be sure to check out this unique DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to bet on the NFL this weekend

All the quarterbacks set to play this weekend have touchdown props set at 1.5. It’s Justin Herbert at 280.5 yards that has the highest passing yard prop above.

Best Passing Props to Bet for Wild Card Weekend

1) Dak Prescott over 0.5 interceptions (-165); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

Despite only playing in 12 games this season, Cowboys’ quarterback Dak Prescott holds the dubious title as finishing the regular season with the most interceptions. His 15 INTs aren’t even kept in good company, as the only other QB to finish with 15 was the Texans’ Davis Mills.

But wait it gets worse. Maybe some of those interceptions came months ago and Dak has cleaned up his game? Nope. He’s currently on a streak of throwing a pick in seven straight games where he’s also thrown 11 total during those seven games. Overall, he’s thrown multiple picks five times this season.

He’s already thrown one against the Buccaneers in Week 1 when he was 14/29 for 134 yards, zero TDs and 1 INT. Tampa only has ten interceptions on the year but they do only allow the ninth-fewest passing yards per game.

The film clearly shows the reason for Dak Prescott’s interceptions, and it’s simple:

Lately, his eyes have been way bigger than his arm. #Cowboys @BloggingTheBoys #AchoAnswers pic.twitter.com/RBw4KFz5Nm

— Emmanuel Acho (@EmmanuelAcho) January 11, 2023

2) Justin Herbert over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-145); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

The Jaguars’ defense may look stout if you only look at the past few games where they’ve allowed only 16, 3 and 3 points. But that came against the likes of Joshua Dobbs, Davis Mills/Jeff Driskel and Zach Wilson/Chris Streveler. If that’s not a who’s who of second and third-stringers I don’t know what is.

Look four weeks back, the last time they played some semblance of a real starting quarterback, and Dak Prescott was 23/30 for 256 yards, three TDs and two INTs.

Giving up yards in the passing game is the more usual outcome for Jacksonville who ranks 27th in passing yards allowed per game. Only the Vikings, 31st, rank worse among playoff teams.

Like all the Wild Card games this weekend, this is a matchup we’ve already seen. The Jags beat the Chargers 38-10 in Los Angeles back in September. Even in that defeat, Justin Herbert threw for 297 yards and a score.

Now being behind the whole game forced more passing than running, as the Chargers only attempted 12 rushing attempts all game. Herbert was also missing one of his top targets in Keenan Allen in that game. This time it will be Mike Williams out, who injured his back in Week 18.

Allen is back and is fresh off catching two touchdown passes last week. Herbert now has back-to-back games with multiple passing touchdowns and I’ll back him to do so again in my Wild Card Weekend props.

Wild Card Weekend Betting Trends – Underdogs Profitable, 7 Seeds Struggle & Brady’s MNF Record

3) Josh Allen over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-150); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

The Bills were already heavy favorites over the Dolphins this weekend and that was before the line exploded to 13.5-points once Tua Tagovailoa was declared out for the game. Teddy Bridgewater will also miss out. Leaving SklylarThompson to once again lead the Fins under center. That’s not good news for anyone backing Miami.

It is good news for Bills Wild Card Playoff prop bettors. It’s hard to see Miami holding much possession in this game. Buffalo should control this game from the onset and thus see Josh Allen with plenty of opportunities to get within scoring range of the endzone. He just threw for three passing touchdowns last week against New England. He’s now thrown for multiple scores in three straight games and in five of six games as well.

When these teams last played on December 17, Allen threw for 304 yards and four touchdowns. In the first meeting on September 25, he threw for 400 yards and two scores. You could probably either target his passing yards prop of 258.5 or his touchdown prop of 1.5 and be safe either way. But we’ll back Allen in the TD category on Sunday for our prop pick.

NFL Rushing Props

Player
Rush Attempts
Rush Yards
Rushing + Receiving Yards
Kenneth Walker III (SEA)
16.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
60.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
76.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Christian McCaffrey (SF)
16.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125)
73.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
114.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Austin Ekeler (LAC)
13.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105)
51.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
91.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Travis Etienne (JAX)
16.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130)
75.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
97.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Devin Singletary (BUF)
11.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
46.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
60.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Josh Allen (BUF)
9.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145)
50.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Daniel Jones (NYG)
6.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110)
40.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Saquon Barkley (NYG)
17.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
71.5 (Ov -120 | Un -115)
99.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Dalvin Cook (MIN)
15.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100)
70.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
91.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
J.K. Dobbins (BAL)

61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Joe Mixon (CIN)
14.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
55.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
83.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Samaje Perine (CIN)

16.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)

Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)

48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
59.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Tony Pollard (DAL)

47.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
74.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Leonard Fournette (TB)

35.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
68.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Rachaad White (TB)

35.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
53.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Oddsmakers are expecting a heavy dose of Christian McCaffrey this weekend from the 49ers. The running back has a rushing total of 73.5 and a rushing and receiving total of 114.5 in his player props.

Best Rushing Props to Bet for Wild Card Weekend

1) Saquon Barkley over 99.5 rushing and receiving yards (-115); risk 1 unit DraftKings Sportsbook 

It’s the “Fraud Bowl” in a battle of two teams that have reached the playoffs despite not looking very good.

The Giants are 9-7-1 but own a -6 point differential. Meanwhile, the Vikings, despite being 13-4, are -3.

Minnesota is 20th in rushing yards allowed, giving up 123.1 YPG on the ground, But Minnesota is also susceptible to giving up running back yardage in the passing game too. They allow an average of 41.8 YPG receiving to running backs which is the eighth-most.

In two of Barkley’s last three games, he would’ve exceeded this rushing and receiving prop total of 99.5 yards.

2) JK Dobbins over 58.5 rushing yards (-115); risk 1 unit DraftKings Sportsbook

JK Dobbins sat out last week against the Bengals in Week 18 but he’s been hot in recent games where he has played.

With Lamar Jackson out and possibly Tyler Huntley as well, the Ravens will need to turn to the ground game even more so and especially Dobbins.

From Weeks 14-17, Dobbins rushed for 120, 125, 59 and 93 yards in those games. And in the two games against the Bengals this season, Baltimore’s leading rushers finished with 58 yards (Jackson) and 60 yards (Kenyon Drake) last week.

I’ll back Dobbins to go over his rushing total of 58.5 in Wild Card Weekend.

NFL Receiving Props

Player
Receptions
Receiving Yards
Longest Reception
DK Metcalf (SEA)
4.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
23.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Noah Fant (SEA)
2.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125)
26.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
13.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Tyler Lockett (SEA)
4.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110)
60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
23.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Brandon Aiyuk (SF)
3.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
45.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Christian McCaffrey (SF)
4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
36.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
14.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Deebo Samuel (SF)
3.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105)
43.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
George Kittle (SF)
3.5 (Ov -160 | Un +120)
44.5 (Ov -120 | Un -120)
20.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Austin Ekeler (LAC)
4.5 (Ov -155 | Un +115)
35.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
14.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Keenan Allen (LAC)
6.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100)
76.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
22.5 (Ov -125 | Un -110)
Christian Kirk (JAX)
4.5 (Ov -155 | Un +115)
57.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Evan Engram (JAX)
4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
41.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Marvin Jones Jr (JAX)
2.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145)
29.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
17.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Zay Jones (JAX)
4.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100)
49.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
19.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Jaylen Waddle (MIA)
3.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105)
47.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Mike Gesicki (MIA)
1.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110)
17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
12.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Tyreek Hill (MIA)
5.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130)
61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Dawson Knox (BUF)
3.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135)
33.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Gabriel Davis (BUF)
3.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130)
48.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Stefon Diggs (BUF)
6.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145)
77.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
24.5 (Ov -125 | Un -110)
Darius Slayton (NYG)
3.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105)
51.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Isaiah Hodgins (NYG)
3.5 (Ov -155 | Un +115)
44.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
19.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Richie James Jr (NYG)
4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145)
47.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Adam Thielen (MIN)
3.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155)
36.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
17.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Justin Jefferson (MIN)
6.5 (Ov -155 | Un +115)
91.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
26.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
KJ Osborn (MIN)
3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145)
38.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130)
18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
TJ Hockenson (MIN)
4.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
47.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110)
18.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Hayden Hurst (CIN)
3.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135)
31.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
15.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN)
6.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130)
76.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
24.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Tee Higgins (CIN)
4.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110)
61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
22.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Tyler Boyd (CIN)
3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160)
33.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
CeeDee Lamb (DAL)
5.5 (Ov -160 | Un +120)
72.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Dalton Schultz (DAL)
4.5 (Ov +125 | Un -165)
39.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
16.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Michael Gallup (DAL)
2.5 (Ov -185 | Un +140)
36.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Cade Otton (TB)
2.5 (Ov -180 | Un +135)
23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
12.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Chris Godwin (TB)
6.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115)
67.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Leonard Fournette (TB)
4.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130)
28.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
12.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130)
Mike Evans (TB)
4.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115)
64.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)

Will Justin Jefferson hit the 100-yard mark in receiving yards? Oddsmakers think he’ll come close as the Vikings’ WR has the highest receiving prop of 91.5 yards this week.

Best Receiving Props to Bet for Wild Card Weekend

1) George Kittle over 3.5 receptions (-160); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

Betting George Kittle to exceed his Wild Card Weekend props looks like a must-play. His receptions props are set at just 3.5, a total that he’s exceeded in five-straight games. He’s also caught four or more passes in 10/15 total games this season.

No team has allowed more yards (1,115) to tight ends this season than the Seahawks, meaning Brock Purdy should be looking Kittle’s way often on Saturday.

George Kittle’s last two games vs. Seattle:

? 13 Receptions
? 274 Rec. Yards
? 4 Touchdowns

The division rivalry continues on Super Wild Card Weekend ⛏️

pic.twitter.com/yxisq1aBbk

— NFL On Prime Video (@NFLonPrime) January 11, 2023

2) Justin Jefferson over 6.5 receptions (-155); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

Justin Jefferson has had two really down weeks to end the season finishing with just four and one receptions, for 38 and 15 yards. But prior to that, he had games with 12, 12, 11, 7 and 9 catches.

Last week the Vikings got ahead early on Chicago and there was really no need to push the ball to Jefferson as he only saw five targets. In Week 17, the entire Vikings’ team served up a dud in a 41-17 blowout loss.

Week 16 though, Jefferson saw 16 targets for 12 catches, 133 yards and a score against this same Giants team.

That game saw plenty of passing from both teams as Kirk Cousins threw the ball 48 times and Daniel Jones 42. Of Cousins’ 48 pass attempts that game, 32 went to either Jefferson or TJ Hockenson. Any sort of similar game script should see Jefferson easily make seven catches.

3) TJ Hockenson over 4.5 receptions (-125); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

So along the same logic that we’ve used for our Jefferson prop, it stands to reason that TJ Hockenson should also be a strong play for our Wild Card Weekend props.

He too had a down game in Week 18 for prop players, but he only saw and caught one pass. Even in Minnesota’s beat down from the Packers, Hock caught 7/12 passes. Take out last week when he only saw that one pass, and he’s gone over 4.5 receptions in seven of his other nine games with the Vikings.

Touchdown Props

Team
Odds to Score 1st TD
Odds to Score Any TD
Kenneth Walker III (SEA)
+950
+130
Tyler Lockett (SEA)
+1500
+215
DK Metcalf (SEA)
+1600
+240
Noah Fant (SEA)
+2800
+450
Christian McCaffrey (SF)
+400
-150
George Kittle (SF)
+750
+135
Deebo Samuel (SF)
+800
+155
Brandon Aiyuk (SF)
+950
+185
Austin Ekeler (LAC)
+500
-160
Keenan Allen (LAC)
+950
+140
Mike Williams (LAC)
+1200
+170
Joshua Palmer (LAC)
+1500
+225
Travis Etienne (JAX)
+600
-135
Christian Kirk (JAX)
+1000
+140
Zay Jones (JAX)
+1300
+190
Evan Engram (JAX)
+1600
+240
Jeff Wilson Jr (MIA)
+1200
+160
Tyreek Hill (MIA)
+1500
+205
Jaylen Waddle (MIA)
+1700
+230
Mike Gesicki (MIA)
+3000
+475
Stefon Diggs (BUF)
+450
-130
Josh Allen (BUF)
+650
+120
Devin Singletary (BUF)
+700
+135
Gabriel Davis (BUF)
+750
+145
Saquon Barkley (NYG)
+550
-150
Daniel Jones (NYG)
+1200
+160
Isaiah Hodgins (NYG)
+1600
+240
Darius Slayton (NYG)
+1700
+250
Dalvin Cook (MIN)
+550
-135
Justin Jefferson (MIN)
+700
+100
Adam Thielen (MIN)
+1200
+195
Alexander Mattison (MIN)
+1300
+215
J.K. Dobbins (BAL)
+1100
+185
Mark Andrews (BAL)
+1400
+235
Tyler Huntley (BAL)
+1500
+280
Gus Edwards (BAL)
+1700
+310
Joe Mixon (CIN)
+450
-130
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN)
+550
-105
Tee Higgins (CIN)
+750
+150
Tyler Boyd (CIN)
+1100
+230
Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)
+700
+105
Tony Pollard (DAL)
+750
+115
CeeDee Lamb (DAL)
+850
+130
Dalton Schultz (DAL)
+1300
+210
Leonard Fournette (TB)
+800
+125
Mike Evans (TB)
+950
+150
Chris Godwin (TB)
+1000
+175
Rachaad White (TB)
+1100
+185

At -150 odds above, McCaffrey has the shortest odds to find the endzone at anytime this Super Wild Card Weekend.

Here’s who I like to find the endzone and why for my Wild Card Weekend player props.

Dawson Knox anytime touchdown (+200); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook: Only Arizona, New England and Detroit have given up more touchdowns to opposing tight ends than Miami’s ten. That’s great news for Dawson Knox who has seen an average of 5.5 targets and 3.75 catches in the past four games; all games in which he’s found the endzone. Let’s back him to make it five in a row on Sunday.
Ja’Marr Chase anytime touchdown (+105); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook: Ja’Marr Chase has seen double-digit targets in seven of eight games and has caught seven or more passes in each of those past games. Recently, he’s connected with Joe Burrow for a receiving touchdown in three of his past four games.
George Kittle anytime touchdown (+140); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook: We’ve already used Kittle earlier for our receptions props considering how terrible Seattle is in allowing yards to tight ends. But Kittle on his own also has scored in each of his past four games, double-digit TDs in three of those four and a total of seven TDs in those games.

Author: Austin Williams